SEPTEMBER 29, 2023 Economic Update

1. INTEREST RATE DECISION/ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS  At its September 20th meeting, FOMC officials left their benchmark interest rate unchanged, just their second pause since they began tightening rates in March 2022.  Markets and onlookers were well-prepared for the decision, with futures markets pricing in a no-hike scenario in September for the past several weeks. Like their …

SEPTEMBER 15, 2023 Economic Update

1. CPI INFLATION  The Consumer Price Index rose 3.7% year-over-year and 0.6% month-over-month in August, its largest monthly increase this year, according to Wednesday’s release by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.  Energy was responsible for much of the increase in headline inflation, rising 5.6% on the month, including a 10.6% increase in gasoline offset by …

AUGUST 15, 2024 Economic Update

1. INFLATION According to the BLS, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) reaccelerated on a monthly basis in July but continued to decelerate annually. Prices rose by 0.2% between June and July, following a decline of 0.1% the previous month. Prices decelerated to 2.9% year-over-year before seasonal adjustment. The monthly uptick in Core-CPI, which excludes …

JULY 14, 2023 Economic Update

1. INFLATION  The consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.2% month-over-month and 3.0% year-over-year through June, according to the latest numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. June’s monthly pace was a slightly uptick from May, but inflation continued to trend down on an annual basis. Shelter remains the largest contributor to month-over-month price increases, …