OCTOBER 16, 2025 Economic Update

1. OCTOBER EMPLOYMENT UPDATE In lieu of the usual monthly employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, recent private jobs data illustrate persisting labor market weakness during September. The ADP National Employment report, which tracks private payrolls, showed a decline of -32,000 jobs during September and follows a reported decline of 3,000 jobs in …

APRIL 10, 2025 Economic Update

1. SMALL BUSINESS OPTIMISM DECLINES According to the National Association of Independent Business (NFIB) in March, small business optimism experienced its most substantial decline in nearly three years, driven by a collapse in expectations around future business and sales conditions. The share of owners who expect better future business conditions fell by its largest monthly …